On February 6th, 2025, the Bank of England announced a reduction in its base interest rate from 4.75% to 4.50%. Although an expected announcement, it is good news for both property investors and house buyers. The sentiment within the market and across industry experts is that interest rates will continue to fall over the year, bringing back affordability to the UK property market.
Lower interest rates traditionally mean reduced borrowing costs, making mortgages more affordable. This has immediate implications for buy-to-let landlords and property investors, who may see lower monthly repayments and an increased ability to borrow. However, with this financial relief comes increased competition in the property market, particularly in high-demand regions.
Property investment in the UK market over the upcoming years and beyond requires an understanding of the broader market context and anticipating future trends. This article highlights the potential short-term impact of the rate drop, how this interplays with the current state of the UK property market, and what the future might hold for base rate cuts and property investors.
A Chance for Borrowing Costs to Decrease
Lower interest rates typically reduce borrowing costs, making mortgages more affordable. For buy-to-let landlords and property investors, this translates into lower monthly repayments, potentially improving rental yields. A 0.25% reduction in interest rates could save the average buy-to-let investor with £150,000 of mortgage borrowing £372 per year.
Reduced rates often lead to increased demand in the housing market, as affordability improves for both homeowners and investors. This surge in demand can drive up property prices, offering capital growth opportunities for those already invested. However, while the rate drop eases financial pressure, it may also encourage more competition among buyers, particularly in high-demand areas like London, Manchester, and Birmingham.
The Current UK Property Market
In recent years, the UK property market has faced volatility attributed to external factors like COVID-19, Brexit, and increasing interest rates. However, signs of stability are gradually returning. The ONS reports that average house prices increased by 3.3% in the year up to November 2024. Meanwhile, rental prices continued to rise, up by 9% in the 12 months leading to January 2025, fueled by a shortage of rental properties and ongoing demand from tenants.
For landlords, the combination of high rental yields and now potentially lower borrowing costs creates a more favourable environment for expanding portfolios or entering the market. Yet, it’s important to remember the considerations that come with property investing in the current UK market. The introduction of stricter EPC regulations by 2030 and the ongoing impact of Section 24 tax changes still pose challenges to profitability — some of which could potentially be softened by the use of a buy-to-let limited company.
A Positive Market Outlook
If the Bank of England continues on a path of gradual rate reductions — EY Item Club see Bank Rate falling to 3.75% by the end of this year and settling at 3.5% in early 2026 — the property market may see a return to more robust growth and an increase in buyers. Savills predicts a 4% rise in house prices by the end of 2025 if interest rates continue to fall. UK growth is forecasted to improve in 2025 with a predicted 1.7% increase in GDP compared to 0.8% in 2024. However, this optimistic outlook is tempered by broader economic factors, including wage growth, employment rates, and geopolitical stability.
Additionally, the rental market may become more competitive. Lower interest rates might encourage more accidental landlords — homeowners who rent out properties due to improved mortgage conditions — which could slightly ease rental supply constraints. Yet, with strong demand, particularly in urban centres and commuter towns, rental prices are unlikely to see significant downward pressure.
Understanding Investment Goals
For property investors, today’s rate drop offers a timely opportunity to reassess financing strategies. Refinancing existing properties at lower rates could free up capital for new investments. Additionally, they could be the push for individuals considering UK investment to take the plunge and become landlords.
Investors should also remain aware of their investment goals and the impact of their chosen strategies on achieving their goals. For instance, understanding regional market variations could help investors determine where they buy their property. While cities like London and Edinburgh may see immediate impacts from the rate drop due to higher property values and demand, emerging markets in the North East and Midlands could offer better long-term growth potential due to lower entry costs and improving infrastructure.
A Positive Signal for Property Investors
The Bank of England’s interest rate cut is a positive development for UK property investors, offering relief from high borrowing costs and the potential for renewed market growth. Even with positive signals, navigating this landscape calls for careful consideration of the ongoing plethora of regulatory changes and economic factors we’ve seen in recent years and are likely to continue seeing. Staying informed and building a strategy based on market understanding will be key to capitalising on the opportunities presented by this forecasted easing in the market.
This is for your information only and should not be relied upon or construed as legal, tax, investment, financial or other advice. Whilst GetGround has tried to make sure this information is accurate and up to date, things can change, so GetGround cannot guarantee or be responsible for the accuracy, relevance and/or the completeness of the information provided. Certain information has been obtained from third-party sources and GetGround is not responsible for the accuracy of such content. Any prediction, forecast or projection is provided solely as an example of possible growth and return and will not necessarily reflect the actual growth and return. GetGround cannot promise that the information provided will be fit or suitable for any purpose. Any reliance that you may place on the information provided is entirely at your own risk. GetGround always recommends you obtain independent advice before making any investment decisions.